Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.001381 5.426437 5.898233 6.466492 7.140424 7.924944 8.924122
2025-01-12 4.254283 4.761263 5.357989 6.127856 7.120126 8.396179 10.238250
2025-01-19 3.711409 4.243338 4.895858 5.781684 7.000641 8.706145 11.473815
2025-01-26 3.521636 4.125374 4.902452 6.024853 7.705629 10.351726 15.515330
2025-02-02 3.479921 4.186833 5.147375 6.641107 9.134503 13.783883 26.302018
2025-02-09 3.341214 4.100497 5.175636 6.949693 10.203756 17.375693 46.887317
2025-02-16 3.190530 3.979076 5.134381 7.140896 11.157147 21.718131 108.237455
2025-02-23 3.039804 3.840884 5.048003 7.238430 11.986253 27.006066 805.997042
2025-03-02 2.825825 3.590373 4.756437 6.913604 11.763990 28.634625 NaN
2025-03-09 2.681849 3.433318 4.598612 6.813384 12.064940 33.307294 NaN
2025-03-16 2.507745 3.218416 4.326501 6.451690 11.583833 33.546602 NaN
2025-03-23 2.401743 3.101074 4.206200 6.373776 11.857065 39.264744 NaN
2025-03-30 2.291015 2.981957 4.093614 6.341866 12.418884 51.835978 NaN
2025-04-06 2.154271 2.813909 3.883686 6.077374 12.193846 57.980956 NaN
2025-04-13 2.025018 2.650737 3.670417 5.779140 11.773604 61.287133 NaN
2025-04-20 1.990194 2.635569 3.715474 6.057053 13.517172 153.891727 NaN
2025-04-27 2.000178 2.693396 3.899179 6.710781 17.619190 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.967823 2.678267 3.945567 7.050856 21.106042 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.924092 2.640391 3.943535 7.267278 24.567121 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.874303 2.588495 3.907939 7.383430 27.872172 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.791313 2.473950 3.735179 7.057793 26.656417 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.733526 2.400920 3.642488 6.961616 27.771641 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.657323 2.292090 3.468851 6.591335 25.562680 NaN NaN